Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.070132 1.247207 1.437269 1.655624 1.898719 2.160214 2.461920
2025-03-16 0.764366 1.007562 1.292737 1.647770 2.073672 2.563888 3.166267
2025-03-23 0.598683 0.883015 1.243663 1.724299 2.336954 3.080470 4.038705
2025-03-30 0.476712 0.781369 1.196580 1.784059 2.572452 3.571818 4.909890
2025-04-06 0.363259 0.663151 1.102152 1.759958 2.685918 3.906754 5.597400
2025-04-13 0.293028 0.590953 1.056089 1.788719 2.862502 4.324971 6.406301
2025-04-20 0.235287 0.524285 1.004799 1.798260 3.005343 4.698343 7.166972
2025-04-27 0.190622 0.468833 0.960394 1.808803 3.144201 5.067173 7.931995
2025-05-04 0.152367 0.415211 0.909096 1.799403 3.247394 5.385054 8.634114
2025-05-11 0.118270 0.360213 0.845340 1.759704 3.296418 5.621393 9.224648
2025-05-18 0.096703 0.326227 0.813976 1.769573 3.421057 5.971566 9.988646
2025-05-25 0.076243 0.288180 0.767773 1.746473 3.487340 6.232723 10.627547
2025-06-01 0.062511 0.263627 0.746299 1.768522 3.634230 6.631240 11.497369
2025-06-08 0.048979 0.234427 0.709809 1.758166 3.725033 6.946675 12.255692
2025-06-15 0.042961 0.226173 0.718996 1.837639 3.977342 7.529747 13.443866
2025-06-22 0.036889 0.215236 0.719891 1.899957 4.201915 8.076001 14.591768
2025-06-29 0.028152 0.189958 0.680640 1.874462 4.264092 8.357352 15.332814
2025-07-06 0.023090 0.176375 0.668498 1.904567 4.429651 8.814971 16.364629
2025-07-13 0.018338 0.161035 0.648403 1.914542 4.556631 9.211016 17.308102
2025-07-20 0.014515 0.147334 0.629907 1.925590 4.685180 9.612993 18.270955
2025-07-27 0.011028 0.132256 0.603830 1.915718 4.771078 9.943108 19.124379
2025-08-03 0.007816 0.115001 0.566473 1.874045 4.789733 10.154815 19.787091
2025-08-10 0.006014 0.105296 0.551236 1.884403 4.913469 10.554924 20.771094